Ben6993 wrote:After working through Michel's posts, I think that the experiment as described at the end of Joy's paper gives Joy most chance of success. (Not that I think that the experiment will yield an average correlation exceeding 0.6.)
Joy declared that outcomes to be correlated are based on two paired fragments per explosion.
The number of balls exploded is to be large. The averaging is done over N trials, which I assume is N exploding balls, where N is large.
That implies that one single fragment gives rise to only one outcome in the experiment. It implies that couterfactual estimates of outcomes will not be used, nor will multiple outcomes be used from a single fragment. Michel's posts indicate to me that multiple outcomes from the same fragment are akin to counterfactual data which Joy needs to avoid.
If you want to know what the experiment is, you
first read Joy's experimental paper
carefully, and then you read this thread looking for
agreements between Joy and Richard. What anybody else thinks is irrelevant, unless it led Joy or myself to request movement of the goal-posts, and said movement was agreed by the other party.
So far Joy has not moved the goal-posts one inch, nor have I.
Per explosion (run, trial) k, k = 1, ..., N, there are two paired fragments (hemispheres).
One fragment gives rise to one outcome in the experiment ...
which is a direction.
The video cameras record the explosion and produce video film.
Computer software calculates two
directions u_k and - u_k and stores them in two computer files.
At the end of the experiment there are
two computer files each with N directions. One set is the negative of the other set.
Afterwards we *calculate* the number - E(0, 45) + E(0, 135) - E(90, 45) - E(90, 135) and compare it to the number 2.4 according to
http://rpubs.com/gill1109/Bet